Big Nasty Presents: The NFL SpreadSHREDDER
__________________________________________________________________________While season previews are…cute, The Big Nasty Athletic Dept has been slaving away with its crack team of researchers with the intention of making its loyal brethren money. The NFL kicks off in less than 20 hours, and instead of a season preview (which we’ll probably end up doing anyway) The Big Nasty Athletic Dept introduces a weekly NFL tradition otherwise known as The SpreadSHREDDER. Instead of looking up and down schedules and penciling in W’s based on surface level, media-influenced potential that no team has lived up to at this point, we have looked into the past, present and future to deliver the cornerstone segment of the Big Nasty Athletic Dept: The SpreadSHREDDER. Three games, picked against the spread, every week. With unique insight that demands emphasizing coaching, game situations, and statistical analysis, The SpreadSHREDDER intends to be the authority of NFL betting against the spread. It’s all in a days work, so here we go.
Matt Ryan
Atlanta (-4) over Miami
Although I see both teams underachieving this year, there are many Miami Dolphin statistics from 2008 which scream mediocrity in 2009. The Dolphins’ PPG jumped past 21 ppg in 2009 after averaging just over 16 ppg during the 2 seasons prior to 08. Miami’s turnover differential from 07-08 was +24, second best in the league and WAY TOO HIGH, not to mention they lost only 33% of their offensive fumbles in a league where the average team loses half of their fumbles. There is now a book out on Miami’s second year head coach, Tony Sporano, and we look for the Atlanta Falcons to read that book cover to cover and exploit holes in Miami’s offense, and did we mention that Atlanta has three former Miami coaching assistants on its staff? Look for Atlanta to score early, with Matt Ryan using new toy/TE Tony Gonzalez within the first few plays, forcing the Dolphins to ditch their running game and play from behind. The Falcons smoothly cover the spread, 28-13.
Cowboys fans should be pleased with this Sunday's results against the Bucs.
It seems that, over the years, the earlier in the season the Cowboys play, the better they seem to do. Tampa Bay has limited talent, a first year head coach, and they just fired their offensive coordinator just weeks before the season even begins. Tony Romo may be the celebrity quarterback, but this game should be all about the cowboys running game as they inject The Bucs with a healthy dose of Felix Jones and Marion Barber. Look for an aggressive and overwhelming Cowboys pass rush to get to QB Byron Leftwich (whose release is slower than The Big 10) multiple times, preventing any continuinty on offense for Tampa Bay. This one sounds like a blowout, but in any event, the Cowboys cover 30-10. 
All Detroit has been hearing about, since their season-ending loss to Green Bay in 2008, is how they went 0-16. After an overhaul on the Detroit Lions Roster and new “leadership” at quarterback, we like Detroit’s chances go to the Superdome, play a perennially underachieving New Orleans Saint team and at least cover the +13. Anybody with an opinion, a Laptop and national syndication is convinced that the Lions will get blown out every game. After last year’s embarrassing loss (among others) at home to The Saints, we see the Lions fueled by revenge and desperation to get the ’0-16′ silverback off theirs. Screw it, the lions (somehow) cover the spread on the road.
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Tags: Football, NFL, The Big Nasty Athletic Dept., The SpreadSHREDDER
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[...] 19, Dolphins 7 This was a SpreadSHREDDER gameas we picked The Falcons to cover, and they did not disappoint. The Dolphins have [...]