NFL Superbowl SpreadSHREDDER: Return of the King
__________________________________________________________________________Everybody bets on The Superbowl. So we decided that now would be the perfect time to bring back The Las Vegas Nightmare for the last time of the 2009-2010 season as The New Orleans Saints get set to play The Indianapolis Colts in Superbowl XLIV. Peyton Manning has been getting Michael Jordanesque love from the media in the weeks leading up to the big game, while Drew Brees and his ongoing love affair with the embattled city of New Orleans is the story for the underdog Saints. So who’s got the edge?
Indianapolis (-5.5) over New Orleans
The fact that The Saints defense has heard about how great Peyton Manning is for 2 weeks now does indeed scare us as it has created the proverbial chip on The Saint’s shoulder, which makes underdogs so dangerous. However a defense that produced the 4th highest turnover differential from 2008 to 2009 (+15, a warning sign for Saints backers) should be worried about inflation combined with the fact that they will be playing the smartest quarterback in NFL history, who will have two weeks to prepare for their big play defensive attack. 
The edge on defense goes to The Colts. While The Saints have produced turnovers and a healthy pass rush throughout the regular season and into the postseason, The Colts’ quick and under appreciated defense has succeeded with a ‘team defense’ mentality that will allow them to answer the bell despite missing key players such as Bob Sanders and, possibly, Dwight Freeny. The under appreciated defense of The Colts is also coached by, perhaps the most valuable coach on that entire staff, Larry Coyer who was with The Tampa Bay Buccaneers dating back to 2007 before coming to Indy. As an Assistant Coach/Defensive Line coach with The Bucs, Coyer had to gameplan for a potent Saints offense twice a year. The Bucs went 3-1 in 4 games against The Saints with Coyer’s gameplan contributions as Assistant Coach.
Inflation should never be taken lightly. When a stock’s bubble is about to burst, intelligent investors sell the stock prior to its inevitable implosion even if it continues to perform for a brief period of time after the sale (Right, Favre?). Everything about The New Orleans Saints screams inflation, and Superbowl XLIV should result in David getting kicked in the head by Goliath. INDIANAPOLIS, 37-21.
New Orleans vs. Indianapolis, OVER 57
With the weather being a factor, as it was the last time a Superbowl was held in South Florida, and the unimpressive records against the wagering total of both The Saints (8-8 against The Wagering Total in 2009) and The Colts (8-7-1 against The Wagering Total in 2009) it may actually be wise to consider the under.
That is, of course, until one realizes that Superbowl XLIV will feature a duel between the two best quarterbacks in the league throughout the 2009-2010 season, and two of the greatest quarterbacks of this generation in Brett Favre Peyton Manning and Dan Fouts Drew Brees. The Saints were the highest scoring team in the league this season, posting an eye-popping average point total of 53.8 points per game. Although Peyton Manning and The Colts averaged a lesser 44.1 point total per game, a meeting between two pass-first offenses should jump the total for all parties involved.
The New Orleans Saints played an average of 2.4 points over the wagering total, while The Indianapolis Colts played just .4 points over the total. Both figures do not indicate any type of abnormality as both teams are within 4 points to the over or under. In other words, all signs are beginning to point to an ‘over’ total cashing.
One of the themes of The 2009 NFL season was that quarterback play has never been better. A record 10 quarterbacks threw for over 4,000 yards, and records were also set in the average passing yards per game category. It is fitting that the two best quarterbacks from this season face off in an offensive showcase for the last football game of the year, and a high combined point total is to be expected. INDIANAPOLIS, 37-21.
[SpreadSHREDDER Point Spreads and wagering totals brought to you by Sportsbook.com by way of Vegasinsider.com. Lines and totals subject to change.]
Superbowl Prop Bets LIVE! (Revisited)
As a reminder, the following are the prop bets taken by The Big Nasty Athletic Dept. to keep us awake should this game degenerate into a blowout. The lines featured reflect updated lines that may not have been the same at the time the bets were taken. We have not changed any of our prop bets as a result. Lines provided by Bodog.
- Taking The Underwood: How long will it take Carrie Underwood to sing The National Anthem? UNDER 1:42 (-145)
- This one could go either way…What will be the result of the Superbowl coin flip? HEADS (-105)
- Archie Manning Money Shot: How many times will Archie Manning be shown on live TV during The Superbowl from kickoff to the final whistle? OVER 4.5 (-175)
- Who Smashes Guitars? Will a member of The Who smash a guitar during the halftime show? NO (-145)
- Kim’s Largeassagain: How many times will Kim Kardashian be shown on live TV during The Superbowl from kickoff to the final whistle? UNDER 2.5 (EVEN)
- Kim’s Largeassagain II: What color top will Kim Kardashian be wearing at The Superbowl? BLACK (20/27)
- The Storyline Designed to make you Sick Weep: How many times will CBS announcers fully mention Hurricane Katrina during the game? OVER 2.5 (-210)
- Poking a Stick at Dwight Freeny: What team will record the first sack of the game? NEW ORLEANS (+110)
- Blow The Whistle: What team will get the first penalty of the game? NEW ORLEANS (-135)
- Get That Clear Shit Off of Me! What color will the Gatorade be that is dumped on the head coach of the winning Superbowl team? CLEAR/WATER (37/20)
- The Rating Game: What will The TV Rating be for Superbowl XLIV? UNDER 42.9 NIELSEN RATING (+105)
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Tags: NFL, NFL betting lines, NFL Point Spreads, NFL Point totals 2009, NFL SpreadSHREDDER, NFL Superbowl 44, NFL Superbowl XLIV, Superbowl Prop Bets Live, There's a game tomorrow?, Why I hate The Saints
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[...] Aim. Shoot. I chose Peyton. [...]